By: GOLD MINERS CLUB DATE:16-10-2026
Malawi’s plan to pull artisanal gold into the formal economy is growing quickly. New buying centers are opening, banks are lining up as partners, and ministers are talking about a market where gold is sold only through state-sanctioned channels. A network of buying points is only a delivery mechanism, though. Three questions remain open: how much gold the country loses, which agencies will run the system together, and whether miners will get a price good enough to stop selling to smugglers.
A growing network
On 21 September 2026, the Export Development Fund (EDF) announced a partnership with FDH Bank. The deal opens four new Gold Trading Centers in Karonga, Mzimba (Jenda), Mangochi and Blantyre, extending a network that previously had outposts only in Lilongwe and Liwonde. The EDF’s acting managing director said the fund had been limited to two buying points even though gold traders operate across the country, and that using FDH’s branches avoids building its own network. allafrica
The push is not confined to the EDF. In August, Minister of Mining Thoko Tembo said the Malawi Mining Investment Company (Mamico) was establishing mining cooperatives and formal buying structures. The stated aim is that gold produced in the country is sold only through government-established channels. Standard Bank Malawi has separately proposed a partnership with Mamico on an artisanal gold-purchasing program. allafricaallafrica
Together these announcements suggest strong political will. They also expose the gaps.
Problem one: nobody knows how much is being lost
The headline figure in the public debate is the estimate that Malawi loses up to US$700 million of gold to smuggling. Mamico’s chief executive, Professor Leonard Kalindekafe, presented that number as proof that stronger structures are needed. allafrica
It is a striking number, but the evidence behind it is thin. The Nation reported that a senior Treasury official, speaking anonymously, put the annual outflow at about K500 billion, citing a Mamico survey that he said had been suppressed. The two estimates may not be reconcilable. Using the exchange rate implied elsewhere in the Nation’s reporting (293kg valued at $27 million, or about K47 billion), K500 billion comes to roughly $290 million, well under half of $700 million. That is my own back-of-envelope calculation, and the gap could reflect different exchange rates, different years or different methods. The point is that the public cannot tell. mwnationmwnation
The record on what the state has bought is also inconsistent. The Nation reported in 2025 that the central bank, through the EDF, had accumulated 293 kilograms since 2021. By September 2026, the EDF reported purchases of just over 1.63 tonnes since the market began. A jump of that size may have an explanation, such as differing definitions, timing or accounting, but none has been offered publicly. The Nation has also reported that the central bank planned to hire independent assessors to check the authenticity of its gold and gemstone reserves. Business NewsFront Page +2
The Nation’s investigation described inconsistent records, foreign deals and gold lost in the buying initiative. The 2025-26 budget statement did commit Mamico to a nationwide survey to identify and assess gold mining sites. Until that survey, or any credible alternative, is published, Malawi cannot say what share of its gold the buying centers capture. Without that baseline, it is hard to judge whether a new center in Karonga or Mangochi is working. mwnationmwnation
The geology adds uncertainty. The EDF has said there are no proven reserves, and that what is mined is mostly alluvial gold from riverbanks. The Nation has noted that there are no medium or large-scale gold operations, so the gold is entirely mined by artisanal and small-scale miners. That makes output both informal and unmeasured. mwnationmwnation
Problem two: too many agencies, no clear division of labour
The institutional picture is crowded. The Gold Purchase Program remains owned by the Reserve Bank of Malawi, with the EDF acting as implementing agent. Mamico is now building cooperatives and buying structures under the Ministry of Mining. Commercial banks, FDH with the EDF and Standard Bank with Mamico, are positioning themselves as channels. Between them are the Geological Survey, the Treasury and, with the 2025 push on unprocessed minerals, regulators drafting export rules. The Ministry of Natural Resources has said it is putting regulations in place to support the ban on exporting unprocessed minerals. allafricaallafrica
The question is how these pieces fit. If the government wants gold sold only through state structures, it has to say which structure is the buyer of record, who sets the price, who licenses cooperatives, who polices the border and who keeps the data. Today the public record does not say.
The central bank’s own role has also shifted. The program was pitched as a way to build a reserve asset. Yet the Reserve Bank sold about 590kg of artisanal gold in 2026, despite earlier assurances from senior officials that the metal would be refined and kept as a long-term reserve. The bank’s spokesperson said the sale was expected to raise about $78 million. The context was severe foreign exchange strain, with reserves of about $526.8 million, equivalent to roughly 2.1 months of import cover. Selling under that pressure is understandable. But a buyer that is also the central bank, the price-setter and a forex-strapped seller of last resort is carrying competing objectives. Miners and regulators reasonably wonder which one prevails when they conflict. Mail & Guardian +2
An independent expert quoted by the Nation made the conflict-of-interest point years ago, warning that small-scale miners need an expert on their side when selling, because the Reserve Bank is an interested party and in business, not charity. mwnation
Problem three: will miners get a competitive price?
The case for formal buying rests on price. A miner will not walk to a state center if a trader across the border pays more, pays in hard currency or pays on the spot. The evidence from Malawi is mixed.
On one side, price has clearly mattered. The Nation reported that the buying price rose from K40,000-K50,000 per gram in 2021 to K390,000-K400,000 by 2025, and that purchases rose from 4kg to 10kg a week. That suggests miners respond to better offers. mwnation
On the other side, a higher nominal price is not the same as a competitive one. Gold priced in kwacha is exposed to currency swings and to the gap between official and parallel exchange rates, which is a large part of why smuggling pays. The EDF itself has said that volumes are lower than anticipated and that it tries to stay competitive by adjusting prices to global trends. The Nation’s anonymous Treasury source went further, claiming that the buying initiative has worsened smuggling. That claim is unverified and contested, but it shows the program effect is not settled even inside government. mwnationmwnation
The international evidence is also worth noting. A Stanford economist has described how artisanal miners in Sub-Saharan Africa typically receive prices well below world market levels, because a few private traders control buying and miners have little information about what their gold is worth. The same project notes that Zambia has authorised public gold buying centers to introduce competition and give miners a fairer price, and that researchers are now studying whether, and with what design choices, such centers work. That work is ongoing, so no one yet has strong evidence that public buying centers succeed. Malawi is building ahead of the evidence. stanfordstanford
Price transparency is the likeliest test of success. A center that publishes its price daily against the international benchmark, pays promptly and states its assay method gives miners a reason to trust it. A center that does none of these is only another buyer among many.
What would close the gaps
Taken together, the reporting points to a short list of priorities that the new buying points cannot achieve alone:
- Publish a credible baseline. Release the Mamico survey or a transparent replacement, with methods and exchange-rate assumptions stated, so that the $700 million and K500 billion estimates can be tested.
- Reconcile the purchase and holdings data. Explain the gap between the 293kg and 1.63-tonne figures, and publish the findings of any independent reserve assessment.
- Define institutional roles in law and in practice. Say who owns the program, who sets prices, who licenses cooperatives and who enforces. Clarify whether the central bank is a reserve-builder or a forex-generating seller.
- Make pricing visible and benchmarked. Publish buying prices against the world price and the parallel exchange rate, and commit to speed and certainty of payment.
- Learn from neighbours. Track the Zambian experience as it produces evidence on what makes public buying centres work.
Conclusion
The expansion of buying points is a sensible step. Gold sold through a branch in Karonga or Mangochi is easier to track than gold carried across a border. But formalisation is a system, and a system needs a measured baseline, clear agency roles and a price that wins over miners. Malawi has the first outlines of a network but is still short of those three foundations. Until they are in place, the new centers will be open without anyone being able to show whether the smuggling is shrinking.
News references
- “Malawi: EDF, FDH Bank Partner to Formalise Malawi Gold Trade,” allAfrica, 21 September 2026. https://allafrica.com/stories/202609210348.html
- “Malawi ‘Losing $700million Worth of Gold to Smugglers’ – As Government Scrambles to Crack Down On Illegal Mining Trade,” allAfrica / Business News Malawi, 20-21 August 2026. https://allafrica.com/stories/202608210076.html
- “Malawi’s gold reserve strategy reversed amid forex difficulties,” Mail & Guardian, with the Centre for Investigative Journalism Malawi, 26 June 2026. https://mg.co.za/thought-leader/2026-06-26-malawi-s-gold-reserve-strategy-reversed-amid-forex-difficulties/
- “Standard Bank Malawi signals deeper role in mining sector,” allAfrica, August 2026. https://allafrica.com/stories/202608190655.html
- “Mining haunted by exploitation, dubious contracts,” The Nation (Malawi). https://mwnation.com/mining-haunted-by-exploitation-dubious-contracts/
- “RBM gold purchases at K34BN,” The Nation (Malawi). https://mwnation.com/?p=382300
- “Gold prices fluctuate, EDF blames smuggling,” The Nation (Malawi). https://mwnation.com/gold-prices-fluctuateedf-blames-smuggling/
- “Gold revenue hits K2.6bn in 6 months,” The Nation (Malawi). https://mwnation.com/gold-revenue-hits-k2-6bn-in-6-months/
- “Malawi: Government to Set Up Gemstone Processing Centres to Empower Small-Scale Miners,” allAfrica, 5 November 2025. https://allafrica.com/stories/202511050169.html
- “Improving artisanal gold markets” (Danielle Handel, 2026 Emerging Scholars Fellow), Stanford Impact Labs. https://impact.stanford.edu/people/danielle-handel



